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Geetha Gantifor Walnut Creek School Board

Enrollment & School Choice

Who's Enrolling — and Who's Leaving

Whether families are actually leaving WCSD — checked against public data, not anecdote.

Status
Data being assembled
Last updated
Not yet published
Sources
Sources will be published with this analysis

The question I had as a mom

Are families leaving WCSD for private school, and what does the data actually show?

WCSD's own enrollment, year over year

Would come from CDE's Annual Enrollment Report / DataQuest, plus the district's own budget documents and demographer reports.

WCSD enrollment by year

A year-over-year enrollment trend line will render here once the district-level figures are pulled and checked.

Open question

No verified dataset added yet

This space is reserved for data that meets the campaign's verification standard.

Sources will be published with this analysis

Private-school enrollment in Contra Costa County

Would come from the National Center for Education Statistics' Private School Universe Survey, which reports county-level private-school enrollment on a two-year cycle.

County private-school enrollment by survey year

A county-level trend will render here once the survey years are pulled. Public and private figures are collected on different cycles, so they need to be aligned carefully before being compared.

Open question

No verified dataset added yet

This space is reserved for data that meets the campaign's verification standard.

Sources will be published with this analysis

What we still need to verify

Every question here has a named source to check. None of them has an answer yet.

  • Has WCSD's own enrollment changed since 2019, and if so, in which direction — pulled from CDE's Annual Enrollment Report / DataQuest.
  • Has private-school enrollment in Contra Costa County grown over the same period — pulled from NCES's Private School Universe Survey.
  • If both moved, do they move together? A district can lose students to housing costs, birth rates, or families moving away without a single family choosing private school.
  • How much of any shift is inter-district transfer within public schools rather than public-to-private — a separate dataset, and a separate question.

Sources

Source verification in progress

CDE DataQuest tables, district budget and demographer reports, and the NCES Private School Universe Survey will be listed here with direct links once pulled.

Methodology

Methodology in development

Which years are comparable, how public and private survey cycles are aligned, and what this page will not claim to explain.